Tuesday, July 16, 2019

There Is No Climate Emergency




Denis Rancourt, PhD
Physicist, Environmental Scientist
Researcher, Ontario Civil Liberties Association
https://scholar.google.ca/citations?user=1ChsRsQAAAAJ

Saturday, April 20, 2019

Read the full Report

http://ocla.ca/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/OCLA_Report_2019-1.pdf

Read this landmark Report at:

http://ocla.ca/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/OCLA_Report_2019-1.pdf

“Geo-Economics and Geo-Politics Drive Successive Eras of Predatory Globalization and Social Engineering: Historical emergence of climate change, gender equity, and anti-racism as State doctrines”,
by Denis G. Rancourt,
Ontario Civil Liberties Association, OCLA Report 2019-1, April 2019.

Denis Rancourt, PhD
Researcher, Ontario Civil Liberties Association (ocla.ca)

A petition against climate nonsense in municipal politics


Please check it out and sign:

https://www.change.org/p/ottawa-city-council-there-is-no-evidence-for-a-climate-emergency-stop-the-nonsense

The original Submission to Committee is here:
https://www.scribd.com/document/406277896/Dr-Denis-Rancourt-to-Committee-Enviro-Protection-City-of-Ottawa-2019-04-14

Sunday, January 20, 2019

2006 article: Global Warming is Causing Extinction of the Political Species


Global Warming is Causing Extinction of the Political Species

by Prof. Denis G. Rancourt

Caucus - The Political Magazine of the Students, University of Ottawa, Vol.6, Issue 3, February-March 2006, page 10 (LINK)

A CASTRATED ANIMAL loses its territo¬
rial and reproductive drives to become pri¬
marily concerned with its consumption. En¬
vironmentalism is being used to neutralize
citizens that would normally be politically
engaged in proportion to the magnitude of
current problems. Mainstream treatment of
global warming, from media reports to Dis¬
covery Channel documentaries to Canada’s
Two Tonne Challenge, and its measurable
influence on public opinion and concerned
citizen involvement are records of an effec¬
tive program of indoctrination, away from
direct challenges to concentrated and insti¬
tutionalized power and towards personalized
involvement that is in harmony with capi¬
tal’s undemocratic control of the economy
and resources.

Consciousness regarding environmental
problems leads to a large array of reactions
on a multidimensional continuum that in¬
cludes at least two end points: to concentrate
on one’s own consumer and lifestyle choices
and to encourage others to do the same, to
treat the problem from the perspective of
individual psychology, or to act politically
to remove the power structures and institu¬
tions that are the societal root of the prob¬
lem. While it is true that ecological lifestyle
choices and effective political commitment
are not necessarily contrary; just as one can
be a meat-eater and a dedicated environmen¬
tal activist, or a vegan vegetarian enrolled in
an MBA program; environmental conscious¬
ness can be and is manipulated away from
any consequential attack on the status quo.
The apolitical variety of environmental in¬
volvement is strongly encouraged by capital
and its government shadow, via everything
from foundation funding to media coverage
to government programs to responsible cor¬
porate citizen endorsement, etc.

And let us be clear, the status quo is a
world run by profit-driven investors and
corporations, backed by military might, that
are by far the main destructive forces on the
planet. If we shed our privileged perspective
for a moment and let go of the absurd notion
that the greatest threat to humankind is glo¬
bal warming and associated climate changes,
we might see the Empire and its satellites for
what they are, we might see war crimes and
exploitation on a scale that would perturb
even a global circulation model theorist.

The best measure of these crimes is not
anthropogenic C02 emission. There are
more graphic statistics than that. There are
real and immediate regional and continen¬
tal-scale environmental consequences that
are best measured by their impacts on life,
human life in particular since we inhabit
every environment. These include: the
effects of economic sanctions on national
populations, declared and undeclared wars
of occupation, US state-sponsored terror¬
ism (most other terrorist networks pale in
comparison), the effects of capital mobility
(in both First and Third Worlds), the effects
of First World financed corruption, the ef¬
fects of capital exploitation via national
debts, the effects of First World imposed
economic structural adjustments, the effects
of forced market, work-force, and resource
access on the terms set by capital (i.e., so-
called globalization), the consequences to
native inhabitants of being in the unfor¬
tunate situation of living on resource-rich
territories, the effects of television, mass
media, and advertising on the human spirit
and on family and community, etc. These
translate into traditional environmental
measures such as: depleted uranium pol¬
lution on regional scales (ugly stuff' if you
plan on having a family in the next thou¬
sand years), chemical industry accidents
in populated areas, deforestation and as¬
sociated water table losses, agri-business
impacts on soil depletion, water pollution,
food safety, habitat destruction, ecological,
biological, and societal consequences of
human pharmaceutical use, etc.

Communities based on the quality of
human connections, not serving corporate
greed or manufactured dreams of wealth,
fame, and immortality, and tied to the needs
of others and their dependence on a shared
environment, are sustainable and environ¬
mentally sound. The environmental move¬
ment itself is an expression of this vital
human thrust but, as informed First World-
ers, we cannot simply behave as though an
ideal world of collaborating communities
of sensitive individuals were possible under
the present regime of madness. We need to
force our governments and corporations to
stop destroying the web of such communi¬
ties that spontaneously wants to create itself.
We have a responsibility to risk as much as
we can in being as effective as possible in
dismantling the power structures that will
otherwise turn our planet into an illusion
of heaven for few and a real hell for every¬
body.

The enemy is not individual stupidity or
any human trait. The enemy is the very real
network of exploitation and mind control
that we have allowed to take root in our so¬
ciety. We must take it out, action by action,
reaching deeper and deeper with every new
tactic and strategy. We must be as conscious
of our mental and political environments as
we have become knowledgeable of atmos¬
pheric chemistry. Let us be environmental at
home and political - far beyond voting and
postcards to MPs - at work. Consider that
we are at war. This is a war, literally. It is
insane. It could destroy the planet. It’s time
to be radical; to uproot the cancer of undem-
ocratically controlled investment capital and
to disallow capital and military invasions.

Radicals needed. Environmentalists go
home.

Saturday, June 9, 2018

Jan Veiser's epic 2001 summary of climate dogma

Source: "Hot Air and Cold Comfort", by Tim Lougheed, Tabaret Magazine (University of Ottawa), Spring 2001, pp. 8-10.

Jan Viser is one of Canada's most distinguished scientist, and a leading climate expert.

He was being interviewed following the publication of this article: Veizer, J., Godderis, Y. & Fran├žois. L.M., Evidence for decoupling of atmospheric CO2 and global climate during the Phanerozoic eon. Nature 408, 698-701 (2000)



Thursday, March 22, 2018

It's top-down and it's much more than just media propaganda



Global-finance elites are feeling that their trillions-to-be-captured carbon-economy campaign is being threatened by "populism". 

The answer: More of the same: Get collaborating governments to spend public money entrenching the lie, while building their partizan base of planet-saving voters.

(Who could be against clean and safe environments?)

<< For immediate release

Twelve organizations selected to help municipalities across the country adapt to the impacts of climate change

March 20, 2018 – The Government of Canada and the Federation of Canadian Municipalities (FCM) are proud to announce the not-for-profit organizations chosen to help 72 municipalities across Canada strengthen their resilience to the effects of climate change.

Each of FCM’s climate adaptation partners will provide expertise and guidance to a network of at least five municipalities that face similar geographic or climate conditions. They will design peer learning networks focused on climate change resilience activities and deliver training specific to their participating municipalities.

Municipalities are on the front lines of climate change, making this work critical. With this guidance and support, participating municipalities will work with their peers toward similar goals using innovative approaches and solutions to the challenges they face. They will learn how to integrate climate change adaptation into new or existing plans and systems. The result will be a range of products including climate vulnerability assessments, adaptation plans for coastal communities, risk assessment for energy utilities, and cost-analyses of the benefits of integrating natural asset management.

For example, the Institut national de recherche scientifique (INRS)will work with six communities in the Outaouais region to develop stormwater management and flood intervention plans that respond to both regional and specific municipal concerns. Conservation Corps in Newfoundland and Labrador will work with the Miawpukek First Nation Reserve and five other communities to develop vulnerability assessments and/or response plans, as well as tools and case studies for future sharing.

Read the backgrounder for information on all initiatives.

Quotes

“Protecting the environment and growing the economy go hand in hand. The Government of Canada is committed to invest in sustainable infrastructure that reduces greenhouse gas emissions, contributes to a clean growth economy and strengthens the middle class by ensuring communities are healthy and productive places to live. Thanks to the Municipalities for Climate Innovation Program, we continue to engage with municipalities across Canada to help build 21st century communities that will provide a high quality of life for generations to come.”
- The Honourable Amarjeet Sohi, Minister of Infrastructure and Communities

“FCM is proud to help communities lead the way on environmental, social and economic sustainability. After all, municipalities are on the front lines of climate change. This initiative will empower local leaders with skills and tools to build more climate-resilient communities — in ways that can guide and inspire other municipalities across Canada.”
- Jenny Gerbasi, FCM President

Funding for these initiatives comes from FCM’s climate adaptation partner grants. These grants are available through the Municipalities for Climate Innovation Program (MCIP) delivered by the Federation of Canadian Municipalities and funded by the Government of Canada. MCIP is a five-year, $75-million program designed to support and encourage Canadian municipalities to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to climate change.

Related information

Climate adaptation partner grants
FCM’s Municipalities for Climate Innovation Program

Contacts

FCM Media Relations
T. 613-907-6395
media@fcm.ca
Brook Simpson
Press Secretary

Office of the Minister of Infrastructure and Communities
T. 613-219-0149
brook.simpson@canada.ca
Infrastructure Canada
T. 613-960-9251
Toll free: 1-877-250-7154
media@infc.gc.ca
Twitter: @INFC_eng
Web: Infrastructure Canada >>

Wednesday, January 31, 2018

My explanation of the global-warming 'pause' or 'hiatus'

By Denis Rancourt

It cannot reasonably be denied that the main continuous data series used by the IPCC to evaluate global mean surface temperature showed an approximately two-decade "pause" or "hiatus" starting around 2000, which deviated from the predictions of all the many general circulation models (more than 100 simulations from 41 climate models) that were calibrated from the same data series on data prior to 2000.

E.g., see IPCC itself; and Fyfe et al., Nature Climate Change 6, 224–228 (2016). doi:10.1038/nclimate2938

Those who would deny this plain historic fact should be discounted as climate trolls.

The question arises: How did this "pause" occur?

This is my best educated answer:
I believe the “pause” arose because the data could not continue to be manipulated to sustain such a large fabricated “warming” as in the previous decades of data manipulation.

Call me a crank but I am not the only scientist to have concluded that a global mean surface temperature cannot reliably be calculated from measured data with enough precision to confirm or infirm warmings or coolings of fractions of a degree (Celsius) on the modern observation timescale.

In my 2007 essay, I (in part) put it this way:

"It was no easy task to arrive at the most cited original estimated rate of increase of the mean global surface temperature of 0.5 C in 100 years. As with any evaluation of a global spatio-temporal average, it involved elaborate and unreliable grid size dependent averages. In addition, it involved removal of outlying data, complex corrections for historical differences in measurement methods, measurement distributions, and measurement frequencies, and complex normalisations of different data sets – for example, land based and sea based measurements and the use of different temperature proxies that are in turn dependent on approximate calibration models. Even for modern thermometer readings in a given year, the very real problem of defining a robust and useful global spatio-temporal average Earth-surface temperature is not solved, and is itself an active area of research.

This means that determining an average of a quantity (Earth surface temperature) that is everywhere different and continuously changing with time at every point, using measurements at discrete times and places (weather stations), is virtually impossible; in that the resulting number is highly sensitive to the chosen extrapolation method(s) needed to calculate (or rather approximate) the average.

Averaging problems aside, many tenuous approximations must be made in order to arrive at any of the reported final global average temperature curves. For example, air temperature thermometers on ocean-going ships have been positioned at increasing heights as the sizes of ships have increased in recent history. Since temperature decreases with increasing altitude, this altitude effect must be corrected. The estimates are uncertain and can change the calculated global warming by as much as 0.5 C, thereby removing the originally reported effect entirely.

Similarly, surface ocean temperatures were first measured by drawing water up to the ship decks in cloth buckets and later in wooden buckets. Such buckets allow heat exchange in different amounts, thereby changing the measured temperature. This must be corrected by various estimates of sizes and types of buckets. These estimates are uncertain and can again change the resulting final calculated global warming value by an amount comparable to the 0.5 C value. There are a dozen or so similar corrections that must be applied, each one able to significantly alter the outcome.

In wanting to go further back in time, the technical problems are magnified. [...]"

Several other scientist have stressed these same difficulties. The algorithms to correct known systematic effects (such as heat island effects, etc.) are guesstimates and the implementation choices affect the result...  I don't believe the GIS and spread-sheet magic.

I know what it is like measuring temperatures in a physics lab, and I know data analysis. There is no way geographers and data massage artists can take this kind of physical-measurement data and produce a meaningful global spatio-temporal mean with the claimed precision.

Such graphs should not even have been allowed to be published without complete transparency, from raw data through every algorythmic step to the final result. Any scientist should be able to see and reproduce every single step and know every assumption and manipulation and exclusion. Without this care, it is black-box magic, not testable science. The entire field has failed the test.

There you have it. Many have now argued that the "pause" is not "real". Well, I agree, as I have explained above. They argue that something else is real. I say none of it is real. None of it can even independently be verified.

Monday, November 13, 2017

Does gravity play a role in planetary surface temperature?


Does gravity play a role (other than confining the atmosphere, driving convection, etc.) in determining the temporal and spatial mean temperature at the surface of Earth?

In other words, does the gravi-thermodynamics of the adiabatic lapse rate make a significant contribution to determining the average planetary surface temperature on earth?

My short answer is "no". Here is a summary of my answer:

The planetary surface temperature is a result of radiation balance at the surface (including also other heat losses at the surface, such as convection and evaporation), irrespective of thermo-gravitational effects in the atmosphere above the surface. All the relevant energy transfers are "at the surface" because the temperature in issue is the surface temperature.

Lapse rate gravi-thermodynamic considerations are vital for calculating the altitude profile of temperature of the atmosphere, however, the exact temperature profile of the atmosphere has little effect on the resulting surface temparature that is constained solely by the energy exchanges AT THE SURFACE (caps for emphasis).

The exchange below was posted as response comments related to THIS VIDEO. The editor of the video had originally inserted a bubble comment critical of my point being made at approximately 26m33s. Then Gerald Sahd commented that the buuble was incorrect and this discussion followed.


 Gerald Sahd
Highlighted comment
Pinned by 1000frolly
8 months ago
The bubble comment at 26:33 is incorrect... do an internet search.
1
Ya, this is a misunderstanding. I would remove the editor's inserted "bubble". The calculation is for "no atmosphere" BUT imposing the same albedo and emissivity as the actual earth with atmosphere. In other words we instantaneously remove the gaseous atmosphere while leaving the ice/water-particulate clouds in place, and without affecting soil and plant humidity, etc. It is a hypothetical calculation. It is a physicist's "thought experiment" meant solely for educational purposes... I did not think it would become an issue. :) My actual paper makes all this very clear::: https://archive.org/details/RadiationPhysicsConstraintsOnGlobalWarmingCo2IncreaseHasLittleEffect
4
Denis, I am reading through your paper, and it is very clear. In your abstract; "Also, the net warming effect from the atmosphere, including all atmospheric processes (not just greenhouse forcing), without changing anything else (except to add the removed atmosphere) is +18oC, not the incorrect textbook value of +33oC." And on page 8; "With no atmosphere we should use the albedo of the Earth’s present solid surface, in its present state. The latter shortwave albedo <as> has been measured by satellite and is 23/(23+161) = 0.125 ([1]: Fig.1). This gives (eq.3) the significantly higher no-atmosphere mean surface temperature of To = 269.4 K (or –3.7oC), for a total atmosphere warming effect without changing anything else on the present Earth of +18oC, not +33oC. The correct predicted surface temperature of an Earth with no atmosphere but otherwise unchanged is –4oC. ....the relevant question for the present discussion is “What is the net warming effect from the atmosphere, including all its processes, without changing anything else?” The answer is +18oC, not +33oC.". Both the abstract and Page 8 agrees with my calculation of 269.8K for the Earth without an atmosphere. It seems that we 100% agree on the 18c for the warming effect of the atmosphere - no?

CLICK "Read more>>" link below, to continue